Whatever happens we would have a new winner of Paris-Roubaix. Last year's Fabian Cancellara is injured while Tom Boonen does not ride. Technically Magnus Bäckstedt, Peter van Petegem, Servais Knavrn or Frédéric Guesdon could win for the 2nd time but it is extremely unlikely.
The favourite for the race is undoubtedly Alessandro Ballan.
The ProTour leader, shown above with Wesemann, the Continental leader. Ballan won in Ronde van Vlaanderen and Gent Wevelgem and is looking to complete the triple.
A group of 5 get some 'TV Time' forgetting the fact that television channels wont be broadcasting the early part of the race!
The first notable incident came when O'Grady puncturing, but with the peleton stretched out, it did not mean much. At one point, the front of the peleton was 3km ahead of the back of the peleton!
The break was caught but no attacks came and it was just a case of slow attrition. Mattan still had Nolf, Pliuschkin and Mouris with him with 70km to go. Nolf and Pliuschin both had full blue bars, like Mattan while Mouris had 2 red bars.
Pliuschin then punctured:
By the time he caught Mattan up again with 61km to go, he had very little blue bar and 1 red bar.
The action began with David Kopp attacking with 47km to go. It came to nothing but it was the signal for the riders to get ready to attack.
Gusev then punctured at the worst possible point as Burghardt, Flecha, O'Grady, Guesdon and Van Impe attacked.
Discovery then made a bigblunder by sending Hincapie back to help Gusev ruining Hincapie's hopes of a win.
The 5 attackers are caught and Ballan then counters.
I was completely caught out and Mattan and Nolf were trapped in E3 (Pliuschin had already been dropped).
Ballan is obviously in form and pulled away, gaining a 1 minute lead in just 9km. The chasing group consists of Burghardt, Flecha, O'Grady, Van Impe, Hoste, Pozzato, Guesdon and Wesemann. Nuyens, Kopp, Ivanov and Mattan are a further 1'20 down.
Wesemann and Guesdon are dropped from the chase group while a fast tempo from Hincapie helps him, Gusev, Gilbert and Klier to link up with Mattan's group.
With 10km to go Ballan exited the final cobbles with a 1'41 lead as Van Impe punctured from the chase group. Just as Mattan leaves the final cobblestones, disaster strikes!
At least he took Klier down with him.
Mattan and Klier picked themselves off the floor and were now in the next group which included Nolf, Hammond and Leukemens.
Up front Ballan is about to enter the Velodrome, looking set to take a fantastic win, what could go wrong???
Well, he could crash....
After spending what seems like forever on the ground, Ballan gets going and amazingly - he still leads having accumulated such a great gap.
And he hangs on to win!!
Mattan has 1 lap to go, and a fast tempo has split his group leaving only Coyot and Hammond behind him. Nolf is visible a little further back but is about to receive his 4th red bar.
Mattan blows away Coyot and even beats Hammond for 16th - if it hadnt have been for his crash, I reckon he could have got 12th. Nolf finished 23rd while Pliuchkin was 34th. No other DFL finished as the Cyanide Auto-Abandon kicked in with Mouris having just 1km to go, and Lloyd, Oliphant and De Weerdt still yet to enter the velodrome. My 8th rider, Vennell, had crashed out earlier in the race but is fortunately not injured.
1 Alessandro Ballan LAMPRE - FONDITAL 7h56'35
2 Filippo Pozzato LIQUIGAS s.t.
3 Leif Hoste PREDICTOR - LOTTO s.t.
4 Marcus Burghardt T-MOBILE TEAM s.t.
5 Stuart O'Grady TEAM CSC s.t.
6 Juan Antonio Flecha RABOBANK s.t.
7 Steffen Wesemann TEAM WIESENHOF FELT + 1'07
8 Frederic Guesdon FRANÇAISE DES JEUX + 1'36
9 Kevin Van Impe QUICKSTEP - INNERGETIC + 1'58
10 Vladimir Gusev DISCOVERY CHANNEL s.t.
11 David Kopp GEROLSTEINER s.t.
12 Philippe Gilbert FRANÇAISE DES JEUX s.t.
13 George Hincapie DISCOVERY CHANNEL s.t.
14 Nick Nuyens COFIDIS, LE CRÉDIT PAR TÉLÉPHONE s.t.
15 Sergei Ivanov TEAM ASTANA + 3'06
16 Nico Mattan DFL - CYCLINGNEWS - LITESPEED + 4'43
17 Roger Hammond T-MOBILE TEAM s.t.
18 Arnaud Coyot UNIBET.COM + 5'24
19 Andreas Klier T-MOBILE TEAM s.t.
20 Roberto Petito LIQUIGAS s.t.
21 Björn Leukemans PREDICTOR - LOTTO s.t.
22 Enrico Franzoï LAMPRE - FONDITAL s.t.
23 Frederik Nolf DFL - CYCLINGNEWS - LITESPEED + 6'06
24 Peter Van Petegem QUICKSTEP - INNERGETIC + 7'08
25 Magnus Bäckstedt LIQUIGAS + 8'18
26 Andy Flickinger BOUYGUES TÉLÉCOM s.t.
27 Matti Breschel TEAM CSC s.t.
28 Roy Sentjens PREDICTOR - LOTTO s.t.
29 Laurent Mangel AG2R PRÉVOYANCE s.t.
30 Jesús Del Nero SAUNIER DUVAL - PRODIR s.t.
31 Wim De Vocht PREDICTOR - LOTTO s.t.
32 Manuel Quinziato LIQUIGAS s.t.
33 Christophe Mengin FRANÇAISE DES JEUX + 9'44
34 Aleksandr Pliuschin DFL - CYCLINGNEWS - LITESPEED + 10'09
35 Olaf Pollack TEAM WIESENHOF FELT + 12'10
36 Staf Scheirlinckx COFIDIS, LE CRÉDIT PAR TÉLÉPHONE s.t.
37 Wilfried Cretskens QUICKSTEP - INNERGETIC s.t.
38 Renaud Dion AG2R PRÉVOYANCE s.t.
39 Thomas Voeckler BOUYGUES TÉLÉCOM s.t.
40 Franck Rénier BOUYGUES TÉLÉCOM s.t.
41 Geert Verheyen QUICKSTEP - INNERGETIC s.t.
42 Cédric Vasseur QUICKSTEP - INNERGETIC s.t.
43 Fabio Baldato LAMPRE - FONDITAL s.t.
44 Leon Van Bon RABOBANK s.t.
45 Björn Schröder TEAM MILRAM s.t.
46 Johan Vansummeren PREDICTOR - LOTTO + 13'26
47 Wouter Weylandt QUICKSTEP - INNERGETIC + 14'25
48 Ludovic Auger FRANÇAISE DES JEUX + 14'49
49 Jeremy Hunt UNIBET.COM + 16'17
50 Dimitri Muravyev TEAM ASTANA s.t.
Just 96 out of the 193 starters finished the race.