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PCM.daily » PCM.daily's Management Game » [Cont-Man-Game] General
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International Österreich Rundfahrt Discussion
Vien
Int. Osterreich Rundfahrt

Good morning lads and gals and welcome to the preview of the 2018 International Österreich Rundfahrt! The best stage racers of the Pro Continental Tour have gathered for a nice mini-GT in the alps. And it should be an interesting race for sure, as with three mountain stages, a mountain/hill stage and a TT finish, none of them can cruise to a good result!

The riders of this edition would all love to add their name to an impressive list of previous winners.Schleck, Alarcon, Dekker... They've all won here before. And so has Amador, who won last year. But due to his team's promotion to the PT, he won't be able to defend his title.

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/profiles/hc_osterreich.jpg


Let's look into the stages a bit closer, shall we? We start off with the hardest stage, which consists an an almost mountaintop finish. But the six laps around a large hill should make the favourites quite tired once they arrive at its foot already. It'ss followed by an easier stage but an actual MTF, a sprinter stage that has some tough hills, and another mountain stage with a downhill finish. The second part of the stage race is slightly less mountainous, with a hillier stage, a flat sprinter stage and finally, a TT that should seal the deal for the general classification.

Favourites
MOHILTTACCMOHILTTACC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_p4e.png Pluchkin85757974pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gnr.png Roglic80767274
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png Denifl84767265pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_eue.png Nazaret80716572
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_0r8.png Velits82757467pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_npn.png Duarte80687573
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Úran82747871pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_t3a.png Talansky79777269
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_phc.png Henao Montoya82717173pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ayu.png Carthy79746569
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ayu.png Monsalve81767273pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kul.png Penasa79737076
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_rpn.png Kudus81767270pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ino.png Brenes79736970
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_wcc.png Berhane81756668pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_phc.png Pantano Gómez79715468
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ino.png Keizer81718173pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cdb.png Garby79706870
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_azt.png Eastman81717669pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ino.png Signorini78696574

When looking at the favourites, obviously the ability to climb comes first. But with the hilly stage 5 and the TT, the hill and TT stats may also become very valuable. And looking at the whole package, only one rider can be named as the top favourite, which is Pluchkin. The leader of the PCT individual standings is not only the best climber of the peloton, but also has zero weaknesses. Anything but a dominating victory should be a huge surprise.

His main competitors should be home rider Denifl and certaily not home rider Urán. Denifl is the better climber but has weaker substats. Urán has a better TT stat and is a more allround rider. They should both be aiming for a top 3 here.

The last rider who could be names as a top favourite is Xero's Velits. Around the same stats as Úran, though his acceleration may hurt him a little in a stage or two. Though especially since the hillier stage has a long final climb, this weakness may be less of a burden than expected, and he should have a chance of going for a top 3, too.

Following these four, there's an impressive group of outdsiders whose managers could be hungry for a surprise. Starting off with Monsalve, Kudus and Berhane. All very good climbers and puncheurs, but they should lack that little bit extra to go for victory. Berhane also might lose a bit of time on the final TT. Still, a top 5 is very reachable for them.

Henao Montoya, Eastman and Keizer have the same climbing abilities, but they will face problems getting over the hills in stage 5. Keizer may make up this time loss in the final stage however, as he's the best time trialist of the favourites. The rest will have to find a way to win time on the mountain stages.

More balanced riders who would want to go for a top 10, or even more, are Roglic, Talansky, Carthy, Penasa, Brenes and and Garby. Especially Roglic (mountain skills) and Talansky (puncheur) should get some air time in their stronger stages.

And lastly some more riders who can't get over the hills very well, but might surprise in the mountains, are Nazaret, Duarte and Pantano Gomez.

Sprinters
SPACCHILSPACCHIL
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cdb.png Appollonio817866pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_phc.png Krieger797962
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cfe.png Petit807865pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Manarelli797959
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_azt.png Granjel Cabrera807769pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_lpu.png Pelucchi797768
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_eue.png Bouhanni807763pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ssc.png Suryadi797662
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_npn.png Serebriakov807761pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_yor.png Thwaites787665
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_wcc.png Lay798160pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_eue.png Lobato del Valle778067
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_0r8.png Van der Sande797970pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kmm.png Kreder777875
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kul.png Bennett797963pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cfe.png Giaux777567

The GC isn't everything though, as there will also be a fight for stage wins. The hilly stage will likely be won by a stage racer though, as the only decent pure puncheur who has joined is Nordstrom's Tm Diggle. So we'll focus on the other stages. Starting off with the sprints. Two entirely different sprinter stages: One mountainous, one flat.

Appolonio is the best sprinter here, and would be disappointed not to win at least one stage. Petit, Granjel Cabrera, Bouhanni and Serebriakov all have the top speed to beat him on a good day. Lay, Van der Sande, Bennett and Krieger need to rely on their substats, or good positioning, to bring home the points.

In stage 3 however, climbing potential may be vital in order to be fresh the final kilometers. If this is the case, Granjel Cabrera, Van der Sande, Pelucchi and espcially Kreder may shoot up this list of favourites.

Time Trialists
TTHILRECTTHILREC
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ino.png Keizer817179pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gnr.png Dees777272
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_p4e.png Pluchkin797579pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_gnr.png Rolland777076
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Úran787477pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_red.png Fominykh776768
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_kul.png Mullen787072pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cdb.png Christensen776467
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Janse van Rensburg786869pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_min.png Haga767272
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cfe.png Li786171pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_azt.png Eastman767176
pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_cdb.png Steensen777272pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Micro/mg18_ayu.png Rajapakshage767068

Historically, stage racers always do better in later time trials. This means Keizer, Pluchkin and Úran should easily be considered as the favourites to win the final stage. Pure time trialists who will try to save themselves until the final stage and outperform them are Mullen, Janse van Rensburg, Li and many, many more.

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Races/HC/Austria/Startlist.jpg

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/2018/Races/HC/Austria/Startlist2.jpg

pcmdaily.com/images/mg/PCMdailyAwards2018/bettingchampion.png
 
fjhoekie
Easy win expected. Support is not the greatest, but should be sufficient.
Manager of Nemiroff - ABBYY in the PCM.Daily Man-Game


media.giphy.com/media/gxjiNJ2XPA8py/giphy.gif
 
jandal7
Velits to come ninth with a huge crack, a huge comeback and then behaving like a normal rider for 1/4 decisive stages, Tosh to get a fourth, a sixth and a ninth, and no breaks. That’s about how every stage race has gone for us so far Smile Thanks for a detailed preview Vien!
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Ollfardh
I'm always up for a surprise Smile
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Scorchio
Glad we are on the move again Smile. Thanks Vien.

Most of the PCT stage race 'big-hitters' in attendance, so 5-10th looks like Berhane's target window on GC. The TT at the end isn't his forte, so giving a good account of himself in the mountains and the hill day will be required. As not among the top favourites will be interesting to see if one of his domestiques takes the chance to get in the BotD on one of the harder days. Lay for the sprints isn't totally outclassed by the opposition on the start-sheet, but the difficult stage 3 parcours may be beyond him if raced hard, and who knows what condition he'll be in come stage 6. Hence he has no specific lead-out assistance (maybe Arrisol can do some early positioning work), and will then look to surf wheels as appropriate.

Hard to see beyond Plu-bear for overall victory in this go-round Austria, but should be good battles behind him for the podium, top 5 and top 10 bragging rights.
Manager of World Cycling Centre in the MG
 
baseballlover312
Appo better freaking win a stage and podium both. Somehow he's better when competition is harder, but that won't stand here. It's a perfect opportunity for him. He has to execute. I regret not giving him a true leadout, but he should have enough flat guys to get him in a decent position.

Other than that, nothing to hope for. Garby sucks and anything beyond a TT top 10-15 would be a welcome surprise.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy

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Marcovdw
Thanks for the preview Vien. Rooting for R.Ú...! No clue why his name has to be censored on the startlist, he's not a criminal or something Pfft

Pluchking should normally win this one
Manager of Minions in MG and Peugeot in ICL
 
DaveTwoBob
Thanks for the preview Vien.

Anything more than zero points will be a result for Kraftwerk
Manager of Suntory [ICL]
Manager of Kraftwerk Man Machine [Man Game]
 
AbhishekLFC
Hill and TT doesn't suit Henao, so unless he comes up with something special on the mountains, getting that Top 5 looks unlikely. Top 10 looks more realistic. It's also his final race of the season! Don't really expect much from the rest of the team. Just hope they keep up the good domestique work from the last month.
 
Marcovdw
BananaBananaBananaBananaBanana
Manager of Minions in MG and Peugeot in ICL
 
Ollfardh
Poor positioning by Senni, hope he recovers for the next stage.

Congrats Marco!
Join the EPIC madness! https://pcmdaily.c...d_id=31670

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AbhishekLFC
Great start from the team. Costa on a breakaway mission for the first time in a long time and a brilliant ride from Pantano! Henao not losing any time is good.

Congrats Marco Smile
 
baseballlover312
Garby's about where I expected - terrible, behind several riders he should never lose to stats wise.
RIP Exxon Duke, David Veilleux, Double Feature, and Monster Energy

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Aquarius97
2 minutes lost and not even first of the team. Fantastic job Kudus...
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ryant
Don't know how Ive managed it but Ive managed to send something that resembles a C Team here lol, so we're not expecting anything really - Tvetcov in 20th probably will show us whats in store for us. Smile

Seems race days got low and I put more eggs on Portugal, so we'll see where that gets us.
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DaveTwoBob
Jocelin Maillet sneaks into 15th place, interesting.
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jandal7
Not a bad stage but bad signs of Velits being dropped and coming back. Nice ride from Gilanipoor to come in the second group as well though.
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[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | The Life And Times | [PCT] i.imgur.com/c85NSl6.png Xero Racing p/b Octagon
[CX] Listerijns & BoK

i.imgur.com/PdCbs9I.png
i.imgur.com/RPIlJYr.png
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jandal7
Eh, decent from Velits. Hope he can improve on that GC place in the coming days, especially hope the HI stage is a HI stage and not a MO one in disguise
ALLEZ ALLEZ ALLEZ

30/12/14 - matt17br said "Sutty's birthday is more important than [Jesus' Birthday]"
[ICL] Santos-Euskadi | The Life And Times | [PCT] i.imgur.com/c85NSl6.png Xero Racing p/b Octagon
[CX] Listerijns & BoK

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fjhoekie
Annoyed Pluchkin is best Pluchkin Smile
Manager of Nemiroff - ABBYY in the PCM.Daily Man-Game


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Marcovdw
Hat off to Pluchkin. Was fun to lead for one day, but the goal is to maintain second place now.
Manager of Minions in MG and Peugeot in ICL
 
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